Comments on: Challenge to Climatologists? http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/challenge-to-climatologists The facts of global warming. Stop global warming climate change. Information about global warming, how to prevent global warming Thu, 23 Sep 2010 18:35:30 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1.2 By: Auza http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/challenge-to-climatologists/comment-page-1#comment-555 Auza Tue, 27 Oct 2009 17:20:14 +0000 http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/challenge-to-climatologists#comment-555 <a href="http://blogger.com">Dayak</a> The following details say that aerosol emissions will come down by 2030 and 2050. Climatologists are on the job! JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 109, D24212, doi:10.1029/2004JD004902, 2004 On the future of carbonaceous aerosol emissions The paper presents the first model-based forecasts of future emissions of the primary carbonaceous aerosols, black carbon (BC) and organic carbon (OC). The forecasts build on a recent 1996 inventory of emissions that contains detailed fuel, technology, sector, and world-region specifications. The forecasts are driven by four IPCC scenarios, A1B, A2, B1, and B2, out to 2030 and 2050, incorporating not only changing patterns of fuel use but also technology development. Emissions from both energy generation and open biomass burning are included. We project that global BC emissions will decline from 8.0 Tg in 1996 to 5.3–7.3 Tg by 2030 and to 4.3–6.1 Tg by 2050, across the range of scenarios. We project that OC emissions will decline from 34 Tg in 1996 to 24–30 Tg by 2030 and to 21–28 Tg by 2050. The introduction of advanced technology with lower emission rates, as well as a shift away from the use of traditional solid fuels in the residential sector, more than offsets the increased combustion of fossil fuels worldwide. VR Dayak

The following details say that aerosol emissions will come down by 2030 and 2050. Climatologists are on the job!

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 109, D24212, doi:10.1029/2004JD004902, 2004

On the future of carbonaceous aerosol emissions

The paper presents the first model-based forecasts of future emissions of the primary carbonaceous aerosols, black carbon (BC) and organic carbon (OC). The forecasts build on a recent 1996 inventory of emissions that contains detailed fuel, technology, sector, and world-region specifications. The forecasts are driven by four IPCC scenarios, A1B, A2, B1, and B2, out to 2030 and 2050, incorporating not only changing patterns of fuel use but also technology development. Emissions from both energy generation and open biomass burning are included. We project that global BC emissions will decline from 8.0 Tg in 1996 to 5.3–7.3 Tg by 2030 and to 4.3–6.1 Tg by 2050, across the range of scenarios. We project that OC emissions will decline from 34 Tg in 1996 to 24–30 Tg by 2030 and to 21–28 Tg by 2050. The introduction of advanced technology with lower emission rates, as well as a shift away from the use of traditional solid fuels in the residential sector, more than offsets the increased combustion of fossil fuels worldwide.
VR

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