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	<title>Stop Global Warming &#187; Global Climate Change</title>
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	<description>The facts of global warming. Stop global warming climate change. Information about global warming, how to prevent global warming</description>
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		<title>A Global Warming Primer</title>
		<link>http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/a-global-warming-primer</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Mar 2010 03:03:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>stopglobalwarming</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[carbon dioxide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cold Place]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Future Generations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Climate Change]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The Deer, or the BoyA deer in the headlights&#8230;Or the boy that cried wolf&#8230;How do you begin to make sense of the rhetoric surrounding the issue of global warming?There are no simple answers. It&#8217;s natural for non-scientists to become overwhelmed by the shouting and contradictions. It&#8217;s easy to bury your head in the sand with [...]]]></description>
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<div><br/><br/><br/> The Deer, or the Boy<br/><br/>A deer in the headlights&#8230;<br/><br/>Or the boy that cried wolf&#8230;<br/><br/>How do you begin to make sense of the rhetoric surrounding the issue of global warming?<br/><br/>There are no simple answers. It&#8217;s natural for non-scientists to become overwhelmed by the shouting and contradictions. It&#8217;s easy to bury your head in the sand with thoughts of, &#8220;I like warm weather anyway&#8221;.<br/><br/>Being a non-scientist does not necessarily mean being uninformed &#8211; or misinformed. Between these simplistic opposing views is a more realistic and constructive outlook toward global climate change.<br/><br/>Controversy does exist; this is natural for such a complex science. Science evolves; it is, and should be, open to debate. The debate in climatology is leading to a consensus that tells a tale of a world already experiencing the first signals of global warming.<br/><br/>This is a primer for fellow lay people. Presented here is a picture of our climate. How it was, how it is, and how it may be in the near future.<br/><br/>This picture is grounded in the basics of climatology.<br/><br/>Now is the time to abandon the paralyzing rhetoric based in misinformation and incrimination &#8211; on both sides of the issue.<br/><br/>Wouldn&#8217;t it be grand if we could leave to future generations a thriving economy, and a healthy and stable environment? The two do not need to be mutually exclusive.<br/><br/><strong>The Greenhouse Effect</strong><br/><br/>The greenhouse effect is a naturally occurring phenomenon of Earth&#8217;s environment, and is essential to the climate on Earth as we know it. With the natural greenhouse effect the average temperature on Earth is 15 degrees Celsius (59 degrees Fahrenheit). Without it, the average temperature would be about minus 18 degrees Celsius (or 0 degrees Fahrenheit).<br/><br/>?The world would be a very cold place, indeed!<br/><br/>The greenhouse effect happens in nature by the presence of &#8220;greenhouse gases&#8221;, principally water vapor and carbon dioxide (CO2), that trap heat from the sun in the atmosphere and provide a relatively mild and stable climate. Carbon dioxide from animal respiration is cycled into the atmosphere, then taken up by plants in the process of photosynthesis. Animals take in the oxygen emitted from the plants, and the cycle continues.<br/><br/>The balance of nature is a wonderful thing.<br/><br/><strong>Too Much of a Good Thing</strong><br/><br/>Along comes humanity and our penchant to burn fossil fuels. This began in earnest with the start of the industrial revolution, around 1750. Burning these fuels &#8211; coal, oil, and natural gas &#8211; substantially augment the natural occurrence of CO2 in the atmosphere. CO2 isn&#8217;t the only culprit; other greenhouse gasses are produced from human activity. Agriculture produces methane and nitrous oxide, and aerosol propellants produce Chloroflourocarbons (CFCs &#8211; made famous mostly for the deleterious effect they have on the ozone layer). CO2 is the principal greenhouse gas due to the sheer volume released into the atmosphere from burning fossil fuels.<br/><br/>Around 1750, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere was about 275 parts per million. Today, the concentration is 387 parts per million, or a 30% increase, and rising. Since the last half of the twentieth century, the rate of this increase has risen sharply and is currently about 3% per year.?<br/><br/>It is clear that there has been a rapid increase in the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere since the start of industrialized society.<br/><br/>But what effect does this have on Earth&#8217;s climate?<br/><br/><strong>Taking the Earth&#8217;s Temperature</strong><br/><br/>Recording the temperature at a single location on Earth is one thing, but how do we take the Earth&#8217;s temperature as a whole?<br/><br/>We have daily temperature records for many parts of the globe going back about one hundred fifty years. As might be expected, there is a wide variation in average global temperature. But the overall trend is an increase of one-half degree Celsius (or one degree Fahrenheit) since the middle of the nineteenth century.<br/><br/>This doesn&#8217;t sound like much, does it? But it can have significant effects on climate, as we will discuss shortly.<br/><br/>First, let&#8217;s look at the problems associated with getting an accurate average temperature of the Earth over time. Among the problems are:<br/><br/> ?? Instrumentation &#8211; thermometer design and accuracy has changed in the past century and a half. ?? Urban &#8220;heat islands&#8221;. The climate in and around urban areas is effected by the presence of that urban environment. Much of the official data recorded for temperature is taken in and around cities. Also, some of the data collection points may have at one time been in rural areas, and are now in urban areas. Data collection points change over time. Geographical bias. Most of the data collection points are located in the industrialized, urbanized world, where the known heat island effects are most pronounced.? <br/><br/>Can all these problems give an inaccurate and misleading picture toward global warming?<br/><br/>?Yes, of course.<br/><br/>However, these problems are well understood. Thus, the figure of one half-degree increase in average global temperature is not derived from raw data, but adjusted to compensate for the various factors that effect the raw data.<br/><br/>Our picture thus far shows a significant increase of CO2 in the atmosphere since the start of industrialization. It also shows an increase of one-half degree Celsius in average global temperature since the mid-nineteenth century.<br/><br/>What has caused this increase in average temperature? Is this just a natural fluctuation, or does it truly portend global climate change? If so, is this climate change due to industrialized human society?<br/><br/>We&#8217;ve got some groundwork laid. Now let&#8217;s continue constructing our picture.<br/><br/><strong>Modeling the Climate</strong><br/><br/>Climatologists construct computer models of the climate to show the expected rise in temperature given the increase of greenhouse gas in the atmosphere. These models suggest a one degree Celsius rise in temperature. This is not too far off the observed increase of one half degree. However, it is double, and enough to cause concern about the accuracy of these models, or the claim that we are now experiencing global warming. Traditionally, most scientists have been reluctant to ascribe the observed increase in global temperature to human induced global warming due, in part, to this discrepancy.<br/><br/>As stated earlier, science evolves. Improvements in climate modeling and observations of changes in the environment have eliminated this reluctance for the majority of climatologists.<br/><br/>Receding glaciers, rising sea levels, dying coral reefs, migrating plants and animals, reduced daily temperature fluctuations, and more pronounced and frequent &#8220;extreme precipitation events&#8221; (a large amount of precipitation in a short amount of time) are all suggested by today&#8217;s climate models as a consequence of global warming. All these phenomena are being observed in our climate to some degree. The then hottest years on record have all occurred since 1990, with 2005 topping the list. It is becoming clear to the vast majority of these experts that global warming is indeed occurring now.<br/><br/>The next question now rests on the causes of this apparent global climate change, and the real effect it will have on the future of our climate and civilization.<br/><br/><strong>Ancient Climate</strong><br/><br/>The best way to answer this question is to look back at our climate, one hundred thousand years and more&#8230;<br/><br/>If we have so much trouble taking Earth&#8217;s temperature over the past century, how can we hope to know the climate of ancient Earth?<br/><br/>By taking ice core samples at the polar ice caps, scientists are able to tell the molecular composition of the precipitation as it fell to Earth. These ice-trapped clues are indicative of the temperature of these ancient times, and the fluctuations of temperature and climate through the eons. Thus we can differentiate between natural and human induced fluctuations.<br/><br/>There have been regular patterns of ice ages lasting about one hundred thousand years. These ice ages are punctuated by warmer &#8220;inter-glacial&#8221; periods lasting around twenty thousand years. We are presently in an inter-glacial period.<br/><br/>From our ice core samples, we know that the temperature difference between an ice age and an inter-glacial period is five to six degrees Celsius (nine to twelve degrees Fahrenheit). We also know from ancient air bubbles trapped in these samples that these temperature variations closely correlate with variations in atmospheric concentrations of CO2.<br/><br/>The rate of temperature change in these natural fluctuations has been about one degree Celsius per one thousand years, much slower than the current rate. Our concentration of atmospheric CO2 is the highest it has ever been, based on our ice core data.<br/><br/>Clearly, we have altered our atmosphere.<br/><br/>Still, do we really need to worry about a one-half degree Celsius change? We can start to answer this question by looking at the more recent past.<br/><br/><strong>Medieval England and The &#8220;Mini Ice Age&#8221;</strong><br/><br/>Using historical records, scientists can determine the variations in average temperature in central England for the past thousand years. Overall, the average temperature in England during this time period was ten degrees Celsius (fifty degrees Fahrenheit). There have been variations in average temperature of plus or minus one half degree Celsius around the ten degree average.<br/><br/>This variation caused significant changes in climate, including vineyards in England, the colonization of Greenland during warm periods, and the formation of ice on the Thames River during the colder periods. Indeed, the 1600&#8242;s are described as a &#8220;mini ice age&#8221;.<br/><br/><strong>Using the Past to Look to the Future</strong><br/><br/>We now have a picture of temperature change since industrialization, and the rapid and unprecedented rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide.<br/><br/>We have a picture of ancient climates, and the pattern of variation between ice age and inter-glacial periods, including the temperature fluctuation needed to drive these variations.<br/><br/>We also have a picture of the more recent past, in central England, and how variations in average temperature of only one-half degree Celsius during the past millennium has caused significant climatic change.<br/><br/>How can we use this data to create a realistic prediction of climate change for the next one hundred years?<br/><br/>Most climate models conservatively predict an increase in average temperature of between one and three degrees Celsius in the next century. Nobody&#8217;s climate model is predicting a decrease in global temperature.<br/><br/>Let&#8217;s split the difference and assume a two degree Celsius increase in average temperature. Likely effects of this increase are rising sea levels of one-and-a-half to three feet, changes in precipitation patterns, and more extreme precipitation events. As stated earlier these effects are already being observed.<br/><br/>Other probable effects are increased storm intensity and forest/species destruction. It can certainly be argued that these effects are also being observed in our climate. Some of these effects can also be attributed to pollution and habitat destruction not directly related to global warming.<br/><br/>Harder to predict, perhaps less likely effects of our predicted temperature increase over the next century are changes in ocean circulation patterns and ice sheet surges. These effects would cause a drastic disruption of our climate.<br/><br/>We need to remember that the rate of temperature change is an order of magnitude ten to twenty times greater than that of the natural fluctuations of the past. Also, keep in mind that the difference between an ice age and an inter-glacial period is between five and six degrees Celsius. A rapid two-degree change could have significant effects on our global climate.<br/><br/><strong>Our Picture&#8230;</strong><br/><br/>Modeling the climate and predicting likely outcomes based on the buildup of greenhouse gasses is complex and controversial. The most complex models take months of continuous computer time to project over the next century. As the science evolves, so does the consensus among scientists.<br/><br/>Here is what we are reasonably certain of:<br/><br/> That we have significantly increased the amount of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gasses in our atmosphere since the start of industrialized society. That these levels of carbon dioxide are greater than at any time for which we have data, or thousands years. That there is a close correlation between rising CO2 levels and rising temperature, based on ice core samples of ancient climates. That we have observed a one-half degree rise in temperature in the past one hundred fifty years. That our current rate of temperature change is ten to twenty times faster than that what has occurred in the past. That a fluctuation of one half degree over a few hundred years can cause significant climatic changes. That the signature of global warming is present in today&#8217;s climate. <br/><br/>?And what is less certain:<br/><br/> How much of a temperature increase will actually occur in the next century, though a one to three degree Celsius rise is expected. What the effects will be of this rise in average global temperature. <br /><strong>A Call for Reason</strong><br/><br/>We live in times of unprecedented wealth and abundance. Our levels of consumption are enormous.<br/><br/>As we have seen, climatology is a complex endeavor. We surely cannot know all there is to know in the workings of our planet. But the growing body of evidence would suggest that prudence and caution are called for.<br/><br/>Is it not arrogant for us to ignore this mounting evidence? The future is always uncertain, and taking steps to guard against undesirable outcomes is not unusual.<br/><br/>Remember&#8221;Y2K&#8221;? Some claimed that it was just a hoax, others prepared for the end of the world as we knew it. Undeniably, Y2K pales in comparison to the complexity of global climate change. But Y2K is an example of how reason dictated prudent caution, and reasonable people undertook basic steps to insure that the &#8220;Y2K&#8221; bug would not bite, despite the inconvenience and expense involved.<br/><br/>Reason is called for here. Now is the time to develop a unified consensus and plan of action to mitigate the probable effects of global warming.<br/><br/>It starts with people like you and me. We need to look at our own habits and think about what we can do to curb the spiraling consumption that fuels the unprecedented rise in greenhouse gas.<br/><br/>Change is inevitable. Could anyone at the beginning of the twentieth century have foreseen the world we live in today? We need to let institutions and government know that we expect leaders of courage and vision to guide us into the twenty first century.<br/><br/>The burden is on leaders, industry, and citizens. It is, indeed, on every one of us.<br/><br/>The future livability of our climate could very well rest in our hands. Not just for humans, but for all life on Earth.<br/><br/>For all we know, tomorrow may be too late.<br/><br/>Are we really willing to take that risk?<br/><br/><em><strong>Thomas Schueneman						</a></strong></em><br/></div>
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		<title>The Impact of Climate Change</title>
		<link>http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/the-impact-of-climate-change</link>
		<comments>http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/the-impact-of-climate-change#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Dec 2009 16:57:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>stopglobalwarming</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Climate Change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global warming]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/?p=1173</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Climate change occurs gradually over a period long enough, between 50-100 years. Although slowly, the impact on the bulk of the earth&#8217;s surface is becomes hot. Here is the data from the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) which describes the conditions of climate change that happening right now; There has been a temperature increase [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/tag/climate-change">Climate change</a> occurs gradually over a period long enough, between 50-100 years. Although slowly, the impact on the bulk of the earth&#8217;s surface is becomes hot. Here is the data from the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) which describes the conditions of climate change that happening right now;<span id="more-1173"></span></p>
<ul>
<li>There has been a temperature increase in average of 0.76 degrees Celsius between the periods 1850 to 2005.</li>
<li>11 of the last 12 years (1995-2006) are the years with an average temperature of the warmest temperatures measured since the first time in 1850.</li>
<li>There has been an increase in global sea levels by an average of 1.8 mm per year between the periods 1961 to 2003.</li>
<li>There have been more intense droughts in the wider areas since the 1970s, particularly in the tropics and sub-tropics.</li>
</ul>
<p>Regarding those data, <a href="http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/tag/climate-change">climate change</a> impacts will felt by humans, such as;<br />
<strong>Escalation in Sea Surface Water</strong><br />
Due to the earth&#8217;s rising temperatures could melt the ice in the Polar Regions. According to the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), in the last 100 years has been an increased in sea water 10-25 cm tall. Meanwhile, according to Greenpeace report, expected in the coming year 2100 will be an increase in sea water as high as 19-95 cm. Increased water 1 meter sea level will result in the loss of the island or the mainland of the world;</p>
<ul>
<li>The loss of mainland Egypt 1%, Netherlands 6%, Bangladesh 17.5% and 80% atoll in the Marshall Islands.</li>
<li>Sinking of the islands, Fiji, Samoa, Vanutu, Japan, Philippines, and Indonesia. This means tens of millions of people who live in coastal areas must evacuate to higher ground.</li>
</ul>
<div id="attachment_1176" class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 440px"><img class="size-full wp-image-1176" title="japan-sea" src="http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/japan-sea.jpg" alt="Sea" width="430" height="284" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Sea</p></div>
<p>Rising sea levels will result in a lack of endurance, so the coast vulnerable to erosion. This will also cause damage to infrastructure and housing on the beach. This phenomenon can lead to exile.</p>
<p>Climate change also resulted in a shift of the season because of a change in pressure and temperature. The implication dry season those will last long and disastrous drought and desertification. Countries that are expected to experience drought is Africa, Europe, North America and Australia. While on the other hand, the rainy season will take place in a short time with the intensity of higher rainfall causing floods and landslides.</p>
<p><strong>Disaster occurrence of Humanitarian Crisis</strong><br />
Because of the lack of food supplies due to the high potential for crop failure and temperature changes is uncertain, caused lower agricultural productivity. Agricultural productivity in the tropics will decrease if the temperature of the global average rise 1-2 degrees Celsius. On the other hand, the melting of polar ice will cause thermal expansion of ocean water mass and an increase in sea water, so this will decrease the production of fish and shrimp ponds. The accumulative effect of this situation is the widespread famine and widespread malnutrition.</p>
<p><strong>Clean Water Crisis</strong><br />
This water crisis caused by prolonged drought. Under these conditions, due to change of seasons is not stable, so the water rarely threatened the water crisis. Source of fresh water will dry one-third of the world population in 2100. And in the middle of this century, subtropical and tropical regions of the dry will experience water shortages as much as 10-30 per cent so that threatened drought.</p>
<p><strong>The spread of Human Diseases </strong></p>
<p>This is caused by rising temperatures that cause the shorter incubation period of mosquitoes. Impact, transmitted disease by mosquito will reply breed faster. Spread disease, especially in tropical areas. Such as: dengue fever, diarrhea and malaria. due to increased populations of insects (mosquitoes) as vectors of disease. Heat wave that struck Europe in 2005 increased the number &#8220;heat stroke&#8221; (a strong heat stroke) is lethal, salmonella infection, and &#8220;hay fever&#8221; (fever due to dry grass allergy).</p>
<p><strong>Loss of Various Biodiversity</strong></p>
<p>Uncertainty global temperature changes resulting in a loss of species of flora and fauna which can not adapt, and approximately 20-30 percent of plant and animal species will become extinct if the temperature of the global average rise 1.5-2.5 degrees Celsius. In addition, rising water temperatures will increase the acidity of the ocean. Increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is estimated to bring a negative impact on marine organisms such as coral reefs (coral bleaching) and the extinction of other species that depend on these organisms. Thus estimated at about 80% of species of plants and animals will become extinct in the next century.<br />
Temperature increasing resulted in easy burning dry twigs or leaves due to friction which increases the chance of forest fires.</p>
<p><strong>Material and Non-Material Lost.</strong><br />
Global warming due to catastrophic hurricanes, floods and storms, more than 150,000 people died in each year. In 2003, the heat wave in Europe took 25,482 lives in 20 years (source WHO, UNEP, and World Meteorology Council). In addition, in the year 2080 is expected to have millions of people affected by floods every year due to rising sea levels. The greatest risk occurs in the densely populated lowlands, especially deltas of Asia and Africa and small islands. Meanwhile estimates of material losses from climate change reach around EUR 11 billion or about 110 billion annually.</p>
<p><strong>Melt of Ice in the Arctic.</strong><br />
Climate change caused by rising surface temperatures can cause melting of ice and glaciers around the world, especially in the North Pole and the South poles. Since the 1960s, the ice in the polar world has decreased 10%, while the thickness of ice at the North Pole has been reduced 42% in the last 40 years (Prench, 2001). Other data mentioned 10-20% loss of glaciers in the Alps is also marked by <a href="http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/">global warming</a>. The impact of the melting of the North Pole and South Pole will lead to expansion of ocean water mass and an increase in sea water.</p>
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		<title>Global Warming</title>
		<link>http://stopglobalwarmingtogether.com/global-warming</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2009 17:21:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>stopglobalwarming</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Global Climate Change]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[John Nilson asked: &#8220;With public sentiment nothing can fail; without it nothing can succeed. Consequently, he who molds public sentiment goes deeper than he who enacts statutes than he who enacts or pronounces decisions.&#8221; Abraham Lincoln.People exist always only in combination with nature, they can not be separated from it by any means and thus [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="float:left; padding: 12px"><a href="/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/global_warming.jpg"><img src="/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/global_warming.jpg" title='' alt='' /></a></div>
<div><em><strong>John Nilson</strong> asked: </em><br/><br/><br/>&#8220;With public sentiment nothing can fail; without it nothing can succeed. Consequently, he who molds public sentiment goes deeper than he who enacts statutes than he who enacts or pronounces decisions.&#8221; Abraham Lincoln.<br/><br/>People exist always only in combination with nature, they can not be separated from it by any means and thus any kind of changes either positive or negative are always reflected in our lives. Long time ago one of the main problems on the planet became the global climate change. The Artic ice starts to melt and disappear, Latin America and South America suffer from lethal storms and floods. Europeans have to face melting glaciers, forest fires and heat waves. The tree rings and ancient coral in ice cores show that the world has not been as warm before as it is now. The warmest years were all starting since 1998. Most of these changes are influenced by human activities, as people burn the nature&#8217;s stores of coal, oil and natural gas. As a result billions of tones of carbon dioxide come into the air annually. Some scientists even suppose that these changes were caused by the dawn of agriculture. The well known phenomenon connected with global warming is greenhouse effect. CO2 is a greenhouse gas that makes the obstacle for the Sun radiation in the troposphere, the lower atmosphere. Some researches also show that cosmic rays are also connected with this effect. As soon as the atmospheric CO2 rises the global temperatures are luckily to rise by around 2C to 5 C. As a result the ice starts to melt, changes in clouds and vegetation occur and so on. When the glaciers melt, they will certainly cause some rivers to overflow, while others will be emptied. The situations with water resources might cause conflicts in different regions. All this will of course influence the natural ecosystems, as not all species can move quickly enough to put up with the global warming, for example coral reefs. The melting ices will influence not only the level of rivers&#8217; water, but also the level of the oceans is disturbed. And if the level of the ocean rises 6 meters higher, that would be enough to flood the lands of billions of people.<br/><br/>Forests and oceans on our planet were able to absorb about half of the CO2 people produced, but since 2001 the amount of CO2 is twice bigger, which really limits the resources of the nature.<br/><br/>Methane is the second most important gas for greenhouse effect. The effect of methane is even 20 times greater than carbon dioxide, but there is less methane in the atmosphere. Methane influences 25% of global warming. Methane is produced by cows and termites. Thus agriculture and rice growing can produce methane. Besides coal mining and oil wells also produce methane. The level of methane in the atmosphere is constantly increasing &#8211; this is also an alarming fact for the Earth climate.<br/><br/>Public Health organizations are also worried about global warming, as researches state that the global warming is luckily to increase human mortality, when the cases of diseases transmitted by mosquitoes and other&nbsp; parasites increase. But the American Council on Science and Health announced the conclusions of its study which show that such diseases could become serious problems for people disregarding global warming and that these diseases can be prevented not only by reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The aim of these conclusions was certainly to make the diseases for the government not associated with global warming. The findings of the American Council on Science and Health were as follows:<br/><br/>- As the World Health Organization states that there are more than 500 million cases of malaria each year, malaria can not be caused only by warming of the climate, the increasing of the temperature can increase the incidents of malaria only by 10-16%.<br/><br/>- The ACSH studies were also stating that wealth can bring health and stimulate long living, whereas poverty is one of the reasons for hard diseases and short life spans. And public health would be put at risk when great economic costs could go on control of greenhouse gas emissions, as it could lead to poverty.<br/><br/>- Yellow fever, malaria and other tropical diseases could be prevented with fewer costs than those needed to restrict greenhouse gas emissions, for example: use of vaccinations, judicious use of pesticides and biological control methods, usage of mosquito and fly screens and public education.<br/><br/>- Spending money for reducing greenhouse gas emissions means that this money can not be used for better methods of preventing the above mentioned diseases, as better nutrition and sanitation.<br/><br/>This was one of the bright examples how the problem of global warming is not treated in a proper way in order to solve the financial and other problems of the high politic leaders, who care really not much for the future of the whole planet.<br/><br/>But no matter what is said, global warming still stays a great problem of the whole mankind. Certainly it is not possible to stop all human activities that disturb the atmosphere as they are connected with producing food and making people warm. But we should not forget that some predictions about global warming are close to tragic. People are controlling the whole Earth as there are almost no places, which never felt the hand of a human. And thus the whole responsibility is on people. There are certain measures to at least avoid the worst case, the disaster on the planet. People can reduce of greenhouse gas emissions with the help of energy conservation, like turning the computers and other technical devices off, when they do not use them, use compact fluorescent lights, unplug the chargers of cell phones and digital cameras and so on.<br/><br/>The issues of global warming and fossil fuel usage are certainly closely connected. The use of oil and natural resources will decline in a decade. But this would not reduce the carbon dioxide emissions automatically, the replacements with coal, heavy oil and tar sand contain even more carbon, if to make them produce the same amount of energy they will produce twice more carbon. But the fact is that all transport, roads and airports for this transport are useless without oil. To create a new transport system is a task for the whole society, not for an individual, besides it would need money, time, natural resources and a lot of brain power. So the previous arguments concerning a lot of money spent on the stopping or at least slowing the global warming can be put aside against these ones.<br/><br/>The projections made for the future state that Earth will be an ice planet without greenhouse effect, the Earth will get warmer, by the 2100 the temperature will be 1.5 C &#8211; 4.5 C warmer, the increase will be less in the southern hemisphere and greater in the northern hemisphere. The global temperature is connected with carbon dioxide level and methane level, which at the moment exceed greatly the past levels.<br/><br/>It is necessary to mention some facts concerning the future in order to understand why the global warming can be considered a disaster for the whole planet. Certainly it is not possible to know the future climate on Earth precisely, but some data are certain: every century brings the increase of the temperature of 1-2C. It is enough for Greenland and Antarctica to start melting, thus some part of northern areas could become a farmland and Sahara might become bigger. Storms can be stronger. Some countries like Bangladesh and Netherlands are luckily to vanish because of the ocean level rise up to 5 meters.<br/><br/>The term &#8220;climate forcings&#8221; is often used though it is hard to give its precise definition. To define it simply &#8211; this is an event that influences global climate. At this point it is necessary to mention that the weather and climate are different things, the weather is described with the help of variations of dryness or wetness, cold and heat. They do not play a great role for the whole picture on the Earth, but climate can be influenced by forcings, like for example a volcanic eruption can cool the climate on the whole Earth. Such forcing is called a short term forcing. An example of long term forcing may be continental drift which within millions of years changes the path of ocean currents. To anthropogenic forcings belong fossil fuel burning and agriculture. Not all forcings of humans result in global warming, sulfur dioxide from coal burning produces aerosols and they result in cooling.<br/><br/>These were the main negative influences on the climate that cause the global warming. They are rather serious and need urgent steps taken by people in order to avoid the catastrophes in the world of nature, to which we by the way also belong.<br/><br/>So the climate of the Earth should be an international concern and not only of scientists and ordinary people, but also of those who hold power in their hand and are able to make the politics work not only for money, but also for the future of the whole mankind. Unfortunately, these are mostly beautiful words and promises when elections are in the future as soon as they are over the real situation changes. Not a single national leader has come out publicly and said that the recent spate of hurricanes was the result of global warming, this is a part of conventional wisdom of environmentalists that they should not frighten the public, but should focus their interest on technical solutions, like for example hybrid cars and so on.<br/><br/>Global warming is such a problem that it is necessary to deal with all its aspects, which includes the politics. When politicians formulate their policy they need inputs from many disciplines and from science as well. But unfortunately global warming has become an absolutely political issue and politicians do their best to influence even science.<br/><br/>In 1992 at the Earth Summit the decision to prevent such dangerous climate change was taken. The first step was the 1997 Kyoto protocol, which is supposed to come into force in 2005.<br/><br/>One of the reports of the U.N. Panel on Climate Changes warns that the U.S. and other wealthy countries should immediately cut their oil and gas consumption and agree to get at least a quarter of their electrical energy from renewable resources &#8211; solar and wind power; and that they should double their research spending on low-carbon energy by 2010.In 1997 the U.S. Senate voted 95-0 to make Clinton Administration not to send the Kyoto treaty to Capitol Hill for ratification. In his first term president Bush rejected Kyoto. Russia ratified it, but most believe that Putin was made to do that as British Prime Minister and other European Union officials threatened not to let him become a member of World Trade Organization, which could cost Russia billions of dollars each year. But the chief economic adviser of Putin &#8211; Andrei Illarionov shows his doubts as for the upholding commit to Kyoto, he says: &#8220;There is no evidence confirming a positive linking between the level of carbon dioxide and temperature change. The U.N. Panel&#8217;s so called scientific data are considerably distorted and in many cases falsified&#8221; (Can We Defuse the Global Warming Time Bomb?, by James Hansen, 2003, pp.2-15). One of the main ideas of Ilarionov and others is to break the advanced economies of the U.S., Europe and Japan, by persuading the multi-national companies to move plants and jobs to developing countries in order not to comply with emissions restrictions. But the president of the American Policy Center in Washington &#8211; Tom DeWeese doesn&#8217;t agree that it makes sense, he states as the main concern and the prime target is the wealth of the United States it would not be wise to place factories in Third World countries, as the same amount of emissions would come out from jungles of South America instead of Chicago and in this case we are not talking about the protection of the environment any more. He is right in a way.<br/><br/>The main goal of the meeting in Kyoto was signing the amendment to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (the Rio Treaty) in order to require the signatory nations to take the necessary steps to reduce their emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, as these gases cause an alarm situation with global temperatures. The costs of signing it for the U.S. could be really high, as the county could be made to reduce between 10 and 20 % of greenhouse gas emissions by the year 2020, that would cause reduction of gross domestic products by $260 billion annually, it is equal to $2.700 per household. Certainly it was hard to prove that such costs are justified. Besides as millions of American people could be put at risk, several important questions appeared. The first one was about the possible merits or drawbacks of global warming. The World Bank researches prove that about one-third of the whole population suffers from water shortages. By 2025 they say &#8211; around 40 % of the whole population could be living in countries without sufficient water supplies. The crops will also suffer from lack of water. Global warming leads to more condensation and more evaporation, thus producing more rains. So it could be in a way an answer to the problem about lack of water. The second positive point about global warming is possibility of agriculture in North America and Europe, the southern regions of Greenland were not covered with ice when between 10th and 12th centuries the temperature was 0.5 degrees warmer than today, and could be also cultivated. The evidence of this was found when: &#8220;scientists from the National Science Foundation sponsored Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 extracted in an ice core from Greenland&#8217;s ice sheet that spanned more than 100.000 years of climate history. Samplings from the core suggest that a Little Ice Age began between 1400 and 1420, blanketing the Vikings&#8217; farms in ice and forcing them to abandon their farms in search of more hospitable climates&#8221;.( Michael Crichton&#8217;s State of Fear: Climate Change in the Cineplex, by Amy Ridenour pp.1-5). Thus global warming could mean more agricultural productivity and more water resources.<br/><br/>The idea that great storms are connected with global warming is sometimes called a myth. Those who say so find little evidence to support this fact and also to support a conclusion that there is a connection between global warming and increasing number of such pests and mosquitoes that bring malaria, yellow fever and other diseases.&nbsp; The researches of George C. Marshal institute show that most severe storms are more associated with warm and cold weather, for example in the North Sea the storms occurred between 15th and 16th centuries after the onset of Little Ice Age. The United Health Organization writes that with the grow of international traveling and great number of migrations and refugees people have the chance to communicate more, and thus the diseases are spread more quickly, not just from one person to another, but also from one continent to another.<br/><br/>Another important question concerns the global warming itself. Depending on the time period we are discussing the planet is either warming or not. Our planet has experienced several periods of warming and cooling. In his article in 1994 Richard Kerr offered his point of view about this issue: &#8220;In order for a climate model to have credibility, it must first be able to reliably &#8220;predict&#8221; current climate. &#8230; Some &#8220;tune&#8221; their models by adjusting the strength of solar radiation; others by adjusting the transfer of energy between the ocean and the atmosphere to get just the desired results. The result is climate models that are largely worthless&#8221;. (When Science Meets Politics on Global Warming, by Roy W. Spencer, 1998 pp.1-4).<br/><br/>Another question concerns economical results of reducing of greenhouse gas emissions. The plan as to reduce them to their 1990 level by 2000 and with further reductions for 2010 and 2020. This would make the taxes for carbon dioxide raise up to $100 $200 pro metric ton. Then by 2010 this could cause about 500.000 &#8211; one million job loses in U.S. The situation in Australia would be even worse, as they have a strong mining sector. The economies of developing countries would also be sensitive to these reductions in carbon dioxide emissions. The emissions in Brazil grew by 20%, in India &#8211; by 28%, in Indonesia &#8211; by 40% between 1990 and 1995.Thus developing nations and oil exporters have fears concerning their economic futures. That is why developing nations were exempted from reduction mandate under the Berlin mandate.<br/><br/>So the main point of political leaders is that the high costs for reducing greenhouse gas emissions are not worth the climate benefits they could bring. There is a point of view that even if such steps are necessary for improving our climate, we should not hurry and should at first improve our knowledge about causes and consequences of global warming, we should develop technology that could reduce the greenhouse emissions per unit of output, increase the reflectivity of atmosphere. The supporters of this position state that there are a lot of other important economical, scientific and political issues that need to be solved and there is no reason to rush to conclusions about global warming, as scientists themselves are a kind of swept up in the moment. Even after the Kyoto was coming into force constant debates between climate skeptics and global warming &#8220;supporters&#8221; continued. For example when Kevin Trenberth, being a head of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change suggested that there was a connection between climate changes and wave of hurricanes,&nbsp; Christopher Landsea, hurricane expert at America&#8217;s national Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration wrote in his public letter that: &#8220;because of Dr. Trenberth&#8217;s pronouncements. The IPCC process has been subverted and compromised, its neutrality lost&#8221; (When Science Meets Politics on Global Warming, by Roy W. Spencer, 1998 pp.1-4).<br/><br/>The concepts of &#8220;nature&#8221; and &#8220;environment&#8221; were reconstructed. Actually the human-made phenomenon &#8211; global warming- is somehow considered environmental. Some people believe that this framing is political, not just conceptual problem. When the term environment is used it means something that is &#8220;out there&#8221; and needs fixing, but in reality the problem can not be considered external, as it is within people and not out. And it was and will be the humans&#8217; problem.<br/><br/>Overall, the warming of the Earth has become a serious problem concerning, scientists, citizens and of course policy-makers. It is certainly hard to give one-sided characteristics to all effects, results and reasons of the global warming described above, there are certainly possibilities that not all recent researches and conclusions of scientists are true to life 100%, and the statement that in several decades we will know much more about climate changing and global warming has also some rational points. But on the other hand it is hard to deny the fact that the human beings do influence the climate and the nature greatly. These issues touch every single person on the planet and the whole mankind. They should bother the policy making people as well. They have to care for the wealth of the country but to simply deny all the negative facts about global warming is hardly the best way out. But unfortunately it usually happens so that the politics are more interested in real facts concerning finance and industrial developments than in vague future of the whole planet. As the whole industrial process and thus the economy of almost any country depends on its usage of natural resources, the climate seems a low &#8220;price&#8221; for spoiling them. When they start to think about problems caused by climate change, they think first of all about refugees, loss of job places, food shortages because of bad development of agriculture and so on.<br/><br/><br/><br/><a href='http://bhinneka.com'>Mangga dua</a></div>
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